Dr. Obioma C. Nwankwo don do new research wey show say Labour Party (LP) presidential candidate Peter Gregory Obi bin be the person wey suppose win the Nigerian presidential election wey happen on February 25, 2023 for places wey touts and hooligans no fit reach or control. Nwankwo research come get title "Assessing the Likely Winner of the 2023 Nigeria Presidential Election Using the Voting Patterns at Military Installations and Environs."
Nwankwo just use results from military formations for Nigeria 36 states for the analysis wey he do because he believe say those places na where nobody fit snatch ballot or destroy result sheets for the polling units. According to him, Obi win presidential election even for places like Bauchi.
Dem don judge the Nigerian election bad and terrible for the country by local and international observers because dem see say the result don dey manipulate, underage people dey vote, people dey intimidate and suppress voters. Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) don introduce bimodal voter accreditation system (BVAS) and electronic transmission of results from polling units to reduce rigging, but INEC no fit transmit the results electronically from the polling units during the presidential election as dem promise, so people believe say dem don tamper with the result, and e make am difficult to know the true number of votes wey the candidates get.
Nwankwo use the voting patterns for places where the integrity of the election results go dey sure as a way to estimate the true votes wey the candidates get. He use military installations and the places wey dey around them for hin research, because he believe say those places na the best place wey dem fit trust the election results. "The military dey full of different ethnic groups wey be part of the federation and e suppose reflect the opinions of different ethnicities to some extent," Nwankwo talk. "Moreover, we suppose capture the political views of the communities wey dey around these installations because these polling units no be exclusive to the military."
Nwankwo use the official INEC result-reporting website for hin research, and he document the local government, ward, polling unit code, name of polling unit, and the number of votes wey LP, APC, and PDP get for the polling units wey meet hin inclusion criteria. The number of votes wey NNPP get for Kano state also dey recorded. Out of the total 176,846 polling units, dem don upload 167,443 results as e dey time wey we dey publish this news.
Nwankwo's results show say Obi (LP) score 1,694.83 per cent of votes across Nigeria 36 states and FCT, Bola Ahmed Tinubu (APC) get 787.99 per cent, while Atiku Abubakar (PDP) carry 574.12 per cent of votes. If we compare am to the result wey INEC announce, e come be say the result dey surprising. INEC result show say Obi (LP) get 1,033.56 per cent of votes across Nigeria 36 states and FCT, Bola Ahmed Tinubu (APC) get 1,307.61 per cent, while Atiku Abubakar (PDP) carry 1,046.15 per cent of votes.
Nwankwo talk say the method no be perfect, but e fit provide the best estimate for system wey full of manipulations. He dey hope say hin research go draw attention to the need for electoral reforms for Nigeria, where free and fair elections no dey happen for years.
Source: Prime 9ja Online Pidgin: Obi win Nigeria presido election for areas wey thugs no get power - Researcher